How the Explosion of Prop Betting Threatens the Integrity Of Pro Sports
John Affleck does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive financing from any company or company that would take advantage of this short article, and has actually revealed no pertinent affiliations beyond their scholastic visit.
Penn State provides funding as a founding partner of The Conversation US.
https://doi.org/10.64628/AAI.dpfyfqy6j
When I initially became aware of the arrests of Portland Trail Blazers coach Chauncey Billups, Miami Heat guard Terry Rozier and former NBA gamer Damon Jones in connection to federal investigations including prohibited betting, I couldn't assist however consider a recent minute in my sports writing class.
I was showing my students a clip from an NFL game in between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Kansas City Chiefs. Near completion of play, Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence tossed a perfect pass to receiver Brian Jones Jr. to secure a vital first down. Out of the blue, a student groaned and stated that he 'd lost US$ 50 on that toss.
I thought about that moment because it revealed how common sports wagering has actually ended up being, how much the types of bets have altered with time, and - offered these patterns - how it's ignorant to believe gamers won't continue to be tempted to video game the system.
The prop bet hits it huge
I've been following the advancement of sports betting for about a years in my position as chair of Penn State's sports journalism program.
Back when legal American sports betting was mostly confined to Las Vegas, the standard bets tended to be tied to selecting a winner or which team would cover a point spread.
But ahead of the 1986 Super Bowl in between the Chicago Bears and the overmatched New England Patriots, casinos offered bets on whether Bears defensive lineman - and periodic running back - William "Refrigerator" Perry would score a goal. The excitement around that sideshow kept fan interest going throughout a 46-10 blowout.
Perry did end up scoring, and the prop bet took off from there.
Prop bets are wagers that depend on a result within a game however not its result. They can frequently involve an athlete's private performance in some - for circumstances, how many lawns a running back will rush for, the number of rebounds a basketball center will secure, or the number of strikeouts a pitcher will have. They have actually become routine offerings on sports wagering menus.
For example: As I write this, I am looking at a FanDuel account I opened years earlier, seeing that, for the Green Bay Packers-Pittsburgh Steelers game presently in development, I can position a wager on which player will score a goal, the number of yards each quarterback will toss for and much, a lot more. As the game advances, the odds continuously shift - permitting what are called "live bets."
Going back to my student who lost the bet on Lawrence's pass conclusion: It's possible he 'd positioned a bet on Lawrence to toss fewer than a set number of backyards. Or he might have been part of a fantasy league, which is also based on individual gamer efficiencies.
In either case, a problem with prop bets, from an anti-corruption viewpoint, is that an individual can often control the outcome. You do not require a group of players to be in on it - which is what took place throughout the infamous Black Sox Scandal, when 8 gamers on the Chicago White Sox were accused of conspiring with bettors to purposefully lose the 1919 World Series.
In the indictment against him, Rozier is implicated of informing a co-defendant to pass along info to particular gamblers that he planned to leave a March 2023 video game early - a relocation everybody included understood indicated he would not reach his statistical benchmarks for the game. They could then put bets that he wouldn't hit those marks.
In baseball, meanwhile, Luis Ortiz of the Cleveland Guardians was positioned on leave throughout the 2025 season and is under examination for possibly illegally wagering on the result of 2 pitches he threw. MLB authorities are essentially trying to figure out if he intentionally tossed balls rather than strikes in 2 circumstances. (Yes, prop bets have actually ended up being so granular that you can even bank on whether a pitcher will toss a ball or a strike on a private pitch.)
A taking off market with no end in sight
The appeal of prop bets feeds into an around the world sports betting market that has actually experienced explosive development and shows no indication of slowing.
Since the U.S. Supreme Court in 2018 ruled that states might choose whether to enable sports betting, 39 states plus the District of Columbia have done so.
The leagues and media are more than just onlookers. FanDuel and DraftKings are official sports wagering partners of the NBA and the NFL.
In the days after the Supreme Court judgment, I wondered whether journalists would welcome sports wagering. These days, ESPN not only has a wagering program, however it likewise has a betting app.
According to the American Gaming Association, sportsbooks collected a record $13.71 billion in earnings in 2024 from about $150 billion in wagers. A research study launched in February 2025 by Siena and St. Bonaventure universities found that nearly half of American males have an online sports wagering account.
But those figures do not start to touch the worldwide sports wagering market, especially the prohibited one. The United Nations, in a 2021 report, reported that as much as $1.7 trillion is bet yearly in illegal wagering markets.
The U.N. report alerted that it had actually found a "staggering scale, symptom, and intricacy of corruption and arranged criminal activity in sport at the worldwide, local, and national levels."
Who's the employer?
In early October 2025, I participated in a conference of Play the Game, a Denmark-based company that promotes "democratic values in world sports." Its occasional events attract specialists from around the world who have an interest in keeping sports reasonable and safe for everybody.
Among the most sobering topics was unlawful, online sportsbooks that feature wagering on all levels of sport, from the most affordable levels of European soccer on up.
It sounded somewhat familiar. This summertime at the Little League World Series, which my trainees covered for The Associated Press, managers complained about overseas sportsbooks offering lines on the tournament, which is played by 12-year-old beginners.
And with so much prohibited betting in the world, the concern of match repairing was bound to come up.
One session screened a recent German documentary on match repairing. Meanwhile, Anca-Maria Gherghel, a Ph.D. prospect at Sheffield Hallam University and senior scientist for EPIC Global Solutions, both in northern England, told me how she had actually interviewed a professional female soccer gamer for a group in Cyprus. The gamer explained how she and her colleagues were regularly approached with lucrative deals to toss matches.
Put all of it together - the huge sums of cash at play and the relative ease of fixing a prop bet, let alone a match - and you can not be surprised at the NBA scandal.
I used to think that betting was simply a segment of the bigger sports industry. Now, I question whether I had it precisely backwards.